Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 0.056335 0.066427 0.077723 0.091291 0.107136 0.125045 0.146815
2025-06-22 0.040216 0.053097 0.069126 0.090491 0.118176 0.152793 0.199321
2025-06-29 0.030411 0.043846 0.061998 0.088215 0.125006 0.174684 0.246735
2025-07-06 0.023811 0.036947 0.055951 0.085284 0.129241 0.192452 0.290004
2025-07-13 0.020298 0.033555 0.053893 0.087125 0.139789 0.219677 0.349614
2025-07-20 0.017363 0.030390 0.051461 0.087692 0.148050 0.244068 0.407692
2025-07-27 0.015076 0.027806 0.049415 0.088344 0.156211 0.268925 0.469264
2025-08-03 0.013336 0.025822 0.047985 0.089665 0.165428 0.296324 0.538117
2025-08-10 0.012109 0.024531 0.047517 0.092498 0.177481 0.329748 0.621158
2025-08-17 0.010307 0.021831 0.044042 0.089239 0.177909 0.342521 0.668596
2025-08-24 0.009135 0.020172 0.042274 0.088915 0.183688 0.365517 0.737379
2025-08-31 0.008058 0.018525 0.040271 0.087794 0.187666 0.385406 0.802320
2025-09-07 0.007404 0.017703 0.039879 0.090016 0.198874 0.421063 0.903499
2025-09-14 0.006555 0.016305 0.038066 0.088970 0.203153 0.443394 0.980515
2025-09-21 0.005733 0.014825 0.035845 0.086682 0.204405 0.459531 1.046409
2025-09-28 0.004987 0.013395 0.033517 0.083792 0.203878 0.471714 1.105090
2025-10-05 0.004623 0.012862 0.033212 0.085600 0.214339 0.509123 1.224032
2025-10-12 0.004229 0.012179 0.032440 0.086156 0.221895 0.540819 1.333605
2025-10-19 0.003882 0.011563 0.031744 0.086797 0.229725 0.574006 1.450465
2025-10-26 0.003602 0.011084 0.031329 0.088096 0.239356 0.612524 1.584485
2025-11-02 0.003410 0.010829 0.031468 0.090881 0.253153 0.662680 1.752706
2025-11-09 0.003003 0.009858 0.029508 0.087677 0.250783 0.672461 1.820912
2025-11-16 0.002746 0.009301 0.028628 0.087358 0.256144 0.702444 1.944305